Court greenlights Aeromexico's reorganisation plan
February 01, 2022
Grupo Aeromexico's joint plan of reorganisation has been confirmed by the US bankruptcy court for the Southern District of New York. Aeromexico will continue working with all of its key stakeholders to swiftly emerge from Chapter 11, the group says. At that point, the corporate resolutions adopted at the 14 January shareholders meeting will become fully effective, the group says. The hearing to consider confirmation of the plan of Aeromexico and its subsidiaries, who are debtors in the Chapter 11 restructuring process, was held on 27 January. All eight classes of the Mexican carrier's creditors group that were entitled to vote on its restructuring plan have approved it.
Ryanair posts punchy Q3 results and looks forward to summer boom
February 01, 2022
Ryanair has issued an upbeat set of results for the three months to end-December, and group chief executive Michael O'Leary has vowed that it will continue to be aggressive on pricing as it seeks to expand market share and solidify the recovery. The airline made a net loss of €96 million ($107 million) in the period, narrowing one of €321 million in the same period in 2020 and beating market expectations, on revenue of €1.47 billion, up from €340 million. Load factor rose 14 percentage points to 84%, and the group carried 31.1 million passengers. Towards the end of last year, Ryanair warned that the arrival of Omicron would seriously impact its performance in the quarter, as demand crumbled away amid the variant's spread. While the airline notes that this did indeed happen, and that it would have achieved higher load factors and 2 million more passengers in December without Omicron, it also believes that the recovery should be back on course by Easter, providing a solid launchpad for its summer performance. Capacity was cut by roughly one-third in January and 15% for February, but the carrier is now prepared for a "very strong traffic recovery… into March, and Easter", O'Leary told investors on the results webcast, citing a recent surge in bookings. "We would want and expect very very strong traffic and load factors in April, and that would set us up well into the summer." By Easter, Ryanair is hoping to see load factors return to around 90%, compared with typical pre-crisis levels of 95-96%, but this will happen at the cost of yields, reflecting the carrier's aggressive stance on pricing. "I would always give away yield for load factor and a faster recovery," says O'Leary. Capacity should be returned to 115% of 2019 levels by peak summer, and O'Leary foresees that with many competitors having shrunk through the crisis, Ryanair will be able to pick up some of the slack. Investment firm Davy has backed Ryanair's outlook that growth should pick up strongly in time for summer, and that the carrier is ready to be the chief beneficiary of this. Davy highlights that Ryanair Group's cost position, network expansion, customer proposition, employee growth and balance sheet are "poised for the next phase of growth", adding: "We continue to believe that these 'low cost' tenets will show favourably, if not dramatically, this summer. We maintain our forecasts, our 'Outperform' rating and €19 price target." Ryanair is at pains to highlight that in a time of sharply rising fuel prices, it is strongly hedged – up to 80% over the coming months – at a significant discount to the current crude price, in contrast to its key competitor Wizz, which has abandoned the practice.
Southwest seeks staffing 'buffer' to manage impact of Covid-19
January 31, 2022
Southwest Airlines is betting on the hiring of employees rather than a sustained retreat of Covid-19 to solidify its operation and stay on the path of profitability. Prior to Omicron's arrival in the USA in December, the Dallas-based low-cost carrier had in 2021 suffered through waves of staff shortages and flight cancellations amid fluctuations in demand. Southwest began 2022 with yet another wave of flight cancellations, thanks to Omicron. Roughly 5,000 of Southwest's employees tested positive for Covid-19 during the first three weeks of January, incoming chief executive and current executive vice-president Bob Jordan said during an earnings call on 27 January. Staff shortages and winter weather forced Southwest to cancel 3,800 flights during the first week in January. Daily flight cancellations peaked at 672 on 6 January, data shows. Cancellations had subsided by mid-January, as had the rate of Covid-19 infections among Southwest employees, the carrier says. "Over the last few weeks the operation has stabilised," Jordan says. "Yesterday we were 95% on time. Covid case counts are on a downward trend." Southwest intends to hire 8,000 full-time salaried employees in 2022. Additionally, the carrier is raising starting wage rates from $15 to $17 an hour. "The labour market continues to be a challenge," says Southwest's finance chief Tammy Romo. "The impact of Omicron on staffing has affected our capacity outlook by about four [percentage] points." Southwest executives note that 2021 did not play out as expected. Leisure demand has proven to be resilient but demand for business travel remains down 50% versus 2019 levels, stifled by the delta and Omicron variants. "What we experienced in 2021 was pretty humbling," says chief executive Gary Kelly, who is stepping down on 1 February. "A year ago, I would have never bet that this is where we'd be right now. I thought the pandemic would have been well behind us by this point." Kelly points to business travel as a "perfect example" of how Covid-19 has continually scrambled expectations. "We were hoping for stronger business travel in January and February than what we're getting. International travel fits into the same category." Incoming chief executive Jordan echoes Kelly: "It's all a guess at this point." Jordan says Southwest's ability to withstand the impact of future Covid-19 variants "all comes down to hiring". "We have got to run a reliable operation and we've got to have enough staff to do it. We need pilots, flight attendants, ramp staffing. You need the appropriate amount of buffer until we're past Covid… We just need to get the staffing levels to where we can operate our aircraft." He adds that concerns about Southwest's staffing limitations have led the carrier to reduce its first-quarter capacity by 5-6%. Southwest's capacity plans for the second quarter of 2022 are contingent on the success of its hiring. "We have to see how things go on the staffing front," Romo says. She adds that Southwest will accelerate the retirement of its Boeing 737-700s if capacity needs to be reduced. The all-Boeing 737 carrier has 460 737-700s in its fleet, fleets data shows. The carrier expects operating revenue in the first quarter will be down 10-15% versus the first quarter of 2019 on a 9% reduction in capacity. Non-fuel unit costs are expected to be up 20-24% in the first quarter, in part due to operational disruptions in January. Similar to other US carriers, Southwest has seen bookings for March travel improve after declines for January and February travel. Expected losses in January and February come on the heels of a profitable fourth quarter of 2021. Southwest made an operating profit of $195 million in the period ending 31 December, compared with a $665 million operating profit in the fourth quarter of 2019. "I'm delighted to be able to say there were earnings [in the fourth quarter]," Kelly says in what was his final earnings call with Southwest, which he joined in 1986. The carrier ended 2021 with $16.5 billion in liquidity.