ARC NEWS
USA bans Russian oil and energy imports
March 09, 2022
US president Joseph Biden on 8 March announced he will sign an executive order to ban oil imports from Russia following weeks of bipartisan discussions with Congress as the nation seeks new ways to economically pressure Moscow to halt the invasion of Ukraine. The move adds pressure to the already rising price of aviation fuel as carriers and airframers adapt to supply chain challenges of both the Covid-19 pandemic and the global effort to economically isolate Russia's leader Vladimir Putin. The US ban is expected to accelerate the rise of energy prices, and trade group IATA reports that as of 4 March the price of jet fuel rose 27.5% during the previous week, ending just below $142 per barrel. Biden's executive order bans US imports of Russian crude oil, certain petroleum products, liquefied natural gas and coal. "That means Russian oil will no longer be acceptable at US ports, and the American people will deal another powerful blow to Putin’s war machine," Biden said on 8 March. The executive order also bans new US investments in Russia’s energy sector, the White House says, adding that “Americans will also be prohibited from financing or enabling foreign companies that are making investments to produce energy in Russia”. European governments may not be economically able to impose the same ban because they are more dependent on Russian energy compared with the USA. "We’re working closely with Europe and our partners to develop a long-term strategy to reduce their dependence on Russian energy as well," Biden says. While the USA has greater energy independence due to its natural resources, the nation during 2021 “imported nearly 700,000 barrels per day of crude oil and refined petroleum products from Russia” worth billions of dollars, a White House official said on 8 March during a call with reporters. Europe imports six times more oil from Russia compared with the USA, having imported around 4.5 million barrels per day during 2021, the White House says. While European nations are unlikely to join the ban, the rise in fuel prices will add pressure for airlines to pass costs to consumers by raising rates, Bloomberg Intelligence analyst George Ferguson tell, following other expenses incurred due to the pandemic. "US airlines won't be able to raise fares and fly the same amount of capacity, so they have a choice," Ferguson says. "[Either] keep fares low, make little to no profit, but get closer to 2019 capacity levels, or raise fares and cut capacity to try to achieve more profit." Rising energy prices means less discretionary income for consumers, he adds, which could also damage demand for travel. Airlines that raise rates or exit routes could also risk losing business to low-cost carriers, he says. Fuel cost is the second-largest expense for airlines, Cowen analyst Helane Becker states on 8 March in a research note, while labour cost is the largest expense. The pandemic has increased pressure for both airlines and airports to increase pay and benefits to rebuild staffing levels, so rising fuel costs represent "a significant headwind to airline earnings" she adds. "It usually takes around four months for increased fuel costs to become priced into fares and result in higher yields," she says. "At high enough costs, jet fuel may force airlines to limit their future growth and capacity, resulting in higher load factors along with increased fare prices." Despite the impact of the Ukraine crisis, she adds "it would not be surprising to see a repeat of 2008 when a rapid rise in fuel prices was followed by an equally rapid fall". The White House aims to minimise the impact of its energy ban, including the previously announced plan to release more than 90 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve during 2022. Oil production in the USA during 2021 surpassed 2017 levels, Biden says, insisting that the USA will continue producing fossil fuels while preparing the economy to transition to cleaner forms of energy. That gradual process, he adds, is aimed at lowering energy prices while both mitigating the damage of climate change and preventing Putin and other “tyrants” from “using fossil fuels as weapons against other nations”.


Air Transat to codeshare with Porter Airlines
March 09, 2022
Canadian carriers Air Transat and Porter Airlines have entered into a codeshare agreement, starting this summer. The first phase of the agreement will focus on connecting Porter's bases at Billy Bishop Toronto City airport and Halifax-Stanfield to Air Transat's hub at Montreal-Trudeau, Porter Airlines says in a statement. Porter will place its code on Air Transat-operated flights to and from Montreal on 11 European destinations such as Athens, Barcelona, Brussels, London, Lyon, Madrid and Lisbon; 13 South destinations such as Cancun, Cayo Coco and Holguin; five destinations in the USA such as Fort Lauderdale, Los Angeles and Miami; and two domestic destinations, Calgary and Vancouver. Meanwhile, Air Transat will market Porter-operated flights to and from Toronto and Halifax, connecting to all the agreed destinations in Montreal. Porter Airlines says: “These are the parties’ current expectations and final routes remain subject to obtaining all necessary regulatory approvals.”


Airbus partners Australia’s Fortescue to study hydrogen fuels
March 08, 2022
Airbus has signed a memorandum of understanding with Australia's Fortescue Future Industries (FFI) to study the use of liquid hydrogen and power-to-liquid fuels in aviation. “[The MoU] reflects the two partners’ shared ambition to leverage their respective expertise to support the entry-into-service of a hydrogen-powered aircraft by 2035 and achieve net-zero carbon emissions,” Airbus says in a statement today. The parties through their collaboration will look at the challenges of hydrogen regulations, supply, infrastructure and fuelling for aviation, starting from the production stage to delivery to airports and transfer on-board aircraft. Airbus will provide characteristics on fleet energy usage, scenarios for hydrogen demand in aviation, refuelling specifications and aviation regulatory framework. FFI will provide expertise on various supply chain elements, in the areas of cost outlook and technology drivers, and will build scenarios around infrastructure deployment for the supply of green hydrogen to targeted airports. “Partnerships and cross-sectoral approaches are a necessity to make zero emission aviation a reality,” states Glenn Llewellyn, Airbus VP Zero Emission Aircraft. “Airbus is preparing itself to put a zero-emission aircraft in service by 2035. But this will only be possible if we can ensure enough green hydrogen is produced worldwide and I’m thrilled to see FFI enthusiasm with regards to our ambition.” FFI is 100% owned by Fortescue Metals Group, one of the world's largest iron ore producer. “FFI is a developer, financier and operator investing in zero-emission resources to produce renewable energy at a scale equal to the oil and gas super majors,” the company says on its website.


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